Fundamentals · 2026-09-09S&P 500ANNUAL BASIS

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG stock analysis · Financials · Insurance Brokers

FY 2025-12-31ANNUAL FILINGS
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These are research estimates based on annual filings. Valuation uses a cash-flow proxy and explicit assumptions; prices are not live. Published valuations use annual periods first filed by the price date, with later restatements retained.
Reference share price · USD
$229.57HISTORICAL SNAPSHOT

As of · fund-implied per-share value

Fund holding value ÷ shares held. Not a live quote; not adjusted for later stock splits.

View SEC fund filing ↗
Estimated issuer market cap
$58.8B

Price × SEC outstanding shares. Shares measured 2026-06-30. Approximate; share and price dates can differ.

View share-count filing ↗
Reviewed cash-flow model

Reviewed operating-business exception limited to this annual period. Gallagher's brokerage and risk-management businesses earn commissions and service fees. The filing says net underwriting exposure is limited to de minimis capital for certain facilities; it also identifies premium-finance exposure. Fiduciary asset/liability cash movements are in financing activities, separate from operating cash flow. The general FCF and accrual proxies can be used with those limits. Debt carrying amounts and premium-finance borrowing are separately reviewed; no operating income is inferred from pretax earnings, so ROIC may remain unavailable. Consolidated FCF includes minority interests; DCF and reverse DCF await a dated claim bridge. Business description ↗

Valuation

DCF value

Consolidated cash flow includes noncontrolling interests. A dated valuation bridge for those claims has not been reviewed, so per-share DCF and reverse DCF remain unavailable.

Consolidated cash flow includes noncontrolling interests. A dated valuation bridge for those claims has not been reviewed, so per-share DCF and reverse DCF remain unavailable.

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Reverse DCF

Consolidated cash flow includes noncontrolling interests. A dated valuation bridge for those claims has not been reviewed, so per-share DCF and reverse DCF remain unavailable.

Consolidated cash flow includes noncontrolling interests. A dated valuation bridge for those claims has not been reviewed, so per-share DCF and reverse DCF remain unavailable.

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Relative valuation

-56.8%

69 sector peers · median 17.0×

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Historical multiples

43.7×

7 annual observations · snapshot P/E 39.4× · -10.0% versus history

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Free cash flow yield

3.0%

Annual basis · read assumptions below

How this is calculated ↗
Quality

ROIC / quality

Requires two adjacent years of positive average capital, equity, cash, debt and operating income.

Requires two adjacent years of positive average capital, equity, cash, debt and operating income.

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Value composite

15/100

Annual basis · read assumptions below

How this is calculated ↗
Momentum

12–1 price momentum

Split and corporate-action verification is incomplete for these fund observations. Verified adjusted endpoints are required for 12–1 momentum.

Split and corporate-action verification is incomplete for these fund observations. Verified adjusted endpoints are required for 12–1 momentum.

How this is calculated ↗
Investment

Asset growth

10.0%

Annual basis · read assumptions below

How this is calculated ↗
Investment

Net payout yield

Requires reported dividends, repurchases and issuance; missing values are not zero.

Requires reported dividends, repurchases and issuance; missing values are not zero.

How this is calculated ↗
Quality

Accrual quality

-0.6%

Annual basis · read assumptions below

How this is calculated ↗
Momentum

Fundamental momentum

Requires two adjacent years of revenue, operating income and cash flow.

Requires two adjacent years of revenue, operating income and cash flow.

How this is calculated ↗

Follow the cash

ANNUAL · USD

Operating cash flow and reinvestment over time

USD · bar maximum 2.6B2020-12-31: cfo $1,807,100,000.002020-12-31: capex $99,300,000.0020202021-12-31: cfo $1,392,400,000.002021-12-31: capex $128,600,000.0020212022-12-31: cfo $1,390,000,000.002022-12-31: capex $182,700,000.0020222023-12-31: cfo $2,032,000,000.002023-12-31: capex $194,000,000.0020232024-12-31: cfo $2,583,000,000.002024-12-31: capex $142,000,000.0020242025-12-31: cfo $1,930,000,000.002025-12-31: capex $145,000,000.002025
Operating cash flowCapital expenditure

Annual USD. Negative bars use a compressed lower scale. Hover or inspect the financial history table for exact values.

Make the assumptions yours

Personal inputs stay in this browser. Blank fields retain published inputs. Five-year forecast; zero net borrowing. Required return must exceed terminal growth.

How sensitive is the valuation?

DCF per-share sensitivity · includes reviewed preferred and minority-owner claims · rows: required return · columns: growth
Return / Growth3.0%5.0%7.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%

Annual financial history

Open SEC filings ↗
Fiscal year-endRevenueNet incomeOperating cash flowCapital expenditureAssets
2025-12-3113.9B1.5B1.9B145M70.7B
2024-12-3111.6B1.5B2.6B142M64.3B
2023-12-3110.1B966M2B194M51.6B
2022-12-318.6B1.1B1.4B182.7M38.4B
2021-12-318.2B955M1.4B128.6M33.2B
2020-12-317B858.1M1.8B99.3M22.3B
2019-12-317.2B715.8M1.2B138.8M19.6B
2018-12-316.9B675.9M765.1M124.4M16.3B

USD, abbreviated. Restated annual history; not a point-in-time backtest. Missing values appear as dashes.

Trace the inputs

MODEL ANNUAL PERIOD
InputValueSEC tag / sourceFiled
revenue13.9BRevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax2026-02-17
netIncome1.5BProfitLoss
Explicit consolidated amount, including the portion attributable to noncontrolling interests.
2026-02-17
Parent/common earnings proxy1.5BNetIncomeLoss2026-02-17
cfo1.9BNetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities2026-02-17
capex145MPaymentsForCapitalImprovements2026-02-17
operatingIncomeNot reported under a supported tag
assets70.7BAssets2026-02-17
equity23.3BStockholdersEquityIncludingPortionAttributableToNoncontrollingInterest
Explicit consolidated amount, including the portion attributable to noncontrolling interests.
2026-02-17
Parent book equity proxy23.3BStockholdersEquity2026-02-17
debt12.7BReviewed manual correction
Consolidated balance-sheet corporate borrowings: $12,104m noncurrent + $640m current. These are carrying amounts, not the gross contractual-obligation schedule; premium financing debt is separate in shortDebt.
2026-02-17
shortDebt226MReviewed manual correction
Consolidated balance sheet separately reports premium financing debt of 226m. Current corporate note maturities are already included in reviewed debt and are not counted again.
2026-02-17
cash1.4BCashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents2026-02-17
shares256.1MWeightedAverageNumberOfSharesOutstandingBasic2026-02-17
dividends667MPaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock2026-02-17
buybacksNot reported under a supported tag
issuance1.5BProceedsFromIssuanceOfCommonStock2026-02-17