Fundamentals · 2026-09-09S&P 500ANNUAL BASIS

Progressive Corporation

PGR stock analysis · Financials · Property & Casualty Insurance

FY 2025-12-31ANNUAL FILINGS
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These are research estimates based on annual filings. Valuation uses a cash-flow proxy and explicit assumptions; prices are not live. Published valuations use annual periods first filed by the price date, with later restatements retained.
Reference share price · USD
$218.45HISTORICAL SNAPSHOT

As of · fund-implied per-share value

Fund holding value ÷ shares held. Not a live quote; not adjusted for later stock splits.

View SEC fund filing ↗
Estimated issuer market cap
$127.6B

Price × SEC outstanding shares. Shares measured 2026-04-02. Approximate; share and price dates can differ.

View share-count filing ↗
Valuation

DCF value

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Reverse DCF

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Relative valuation

-2.3%

7 industry peers · median 11.0×

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Historical multiples

15.8×

7 annual observations · snapshot P/E 11.3× · -28.5% versus history

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Free cash flow yield

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

How this is calculated ↗
Quality

ROIC / quality

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

How this is calculated ↗
Valuation

Value composite

Requires three valuation yields and at least five covered sector peers.

Requires three valuation yields and at least five covered sector peers.

How this is calculated ↗
Momentum

12–1 price momentum

Split and corporate-action verification is incomplete for these fund observations. Verified adjusted endpoints are required for 12–1 momentum.

Split and corporate-action verification is incomplete for these fund observations. Verified adjusted endpoints are required for 12–1 momentum.

How this is calculated ↗
Investment

Asset growth

16.4%

Annual basis · read assumptions below

How this is calculated ↗
Investment

Net payout yield

Requires reported dividends, repurchases and issuance; missing values are not zero.

Requires reported dividends, repurchases and issuance; missing values are not zero.

How this is calculated ↗
Quality

Accrual quality

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

Generic cash-flow and operating-capital models are not suitable for this sector; specialist bank/insurance or REIT analysis is required.

How this is calculated ↗
Momentum

Fundamental momentum

Requires two adjacent years of revenue, operating income and cash flow.

Requires two adjacent years of revenue, operating income and cash flow.

How this is calculated ↗

Follow the cash

ANNUAL · USD

Operating cash flow and reinvestment over time

USD · bar maximum 17.5B2020-12-31: cfo $6,905,600,000.002020-12-31: capex $223,500,000.0020202021-12-31: cfo $7,761,700,000.002021-12-31: capex $243,500,000.0020212022-12-31: cfo $6,849,000,000.002022-12-31: capex $292,000,000.0020222023-12-31: cfo $10,643,000,000.002023-12-31: capex $252,000,000.0020232024-12-31: cfo $15,119,000,000.002024-12-31: capex $285,000,000.0020242025-12-31: cfo $17,548,000,000.002025-12-31: capex $348,000,000.002025
Operating cash flowCapital expenditure

Annual USD. Negative bars use a compressed lower scale. Hover or inspect the financial history table for exact values.

Make the assumptions yours

Personal inputs stay in this browser. Blank fields retain published inputs. Five-year forecast; zero net borrowing. Required return must exceed terminal growth.

How sensitive is the valuation?

DCF per-share sensitivity · includes reviewed preferred and minority-owner claims · rows: required return · columns: growth
Return / Growth3.0%5.0%7.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%

Annual financial history

Open SEC filings ↗
Fiscal year-endRevenueNet incomeOperating cash flowCapital expenditureAssets
2025-12-3187.7B11.3B17.5B348M123B
2024-12-3175.4B8.5B15.1B285M105.7B
2023-12-3162.1B3.9B10.6B252M88.7B
2022-12-3149.6B722M6.8B292M75.5B
2021-12-3147.7B3.4B7.8B243.5M71.1B
2020-12-3142.7B5.7B6.9B223.5M64.1B
2019-12-3139B4B6.3B363.5M54.9B
2018-12-3132B2.6B6.3B266M46.6B

USD, abbreviated. Restated annual history; not a point-in-time backtest. Missing values appear as dashes.

Trace the inputs

MODEL ANNUAL PERIOD
InputValueSEC tag / sourceFiled
revenue87.7BRevenues2026-03-02
netIncome11.3BNetIncomeLoss
Parent-attributable fallback: a verified consolidated total is unavailable in the supported tags. Noncontrolling interests have not been assumed to be zero; this may differ in scope from consolidated cash flow or operating income.
2026-03-02
Parent/common earnings proxy11.3BNetIncomeLossAvailableToCommonStockholdersBasic2026-03-02
cfo17.5BNetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities2026-03-02
capex348MPaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment2026-03-02
operatingIncomeNot reported under a supported tag
assets123BAssets2026-03-02
equity30.3BStockholdersEquity
Parent-attributable fallback: a verified consolidated total is unavailable in the supported tags. Noncontrolling interests have not been assumed to be zero; this may differ in scope from consolidated cash flow or operating income.
2026-03-02
Parent book equity proxy30.3BStockholdersEquity2026-03-02
debtNot reported under a supported tag
shortDebtNot reported under a supported tag
cash138MCashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents2026-03-02
shares588.1MWeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding2026-03-02
dividends2.9BPaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock2026-03-02
buybacksNot reported under a supported tag
issuanceNot reported under a supported tag